Insights

New Year, Same Script: Another Looming Government Shutdown

New Year, Same Script: Another Looming Government Shutdown

By last Friday it seemed like federal lawmakers would have no trouble meeting the January 30 deadline to approve the remaining fiscal year (FY) 2026 spending bills on their docket and avoid another (partial) government shutdown. (Legislators need to pass...

How Congress Got Its (Appropriations) Groove Back

How Congress Got Its (Appropriations) Groove Back

It may be hard to believe it, but the longest shutdown in the history of the federal government ended only less than two months ago. And while we’re nearly a quarter of the way through fiscal year 2026 (the fiscal year in Washington, D.C. begins October 1 of each...

Will Credit Card Interest Rates Really Be Capped?

President Donald Trump dropped a bombshell on the banking world last Friday. “Please be informed that we will no longer let the American Public be ‘ripped off’ by Credit Card Companies that are charging Interest Rates of 20 to 30%, and even more,” he announced on...

A Major Transition at the Fed

A Major Transition at the Fed

It’s been an eventful start to 2026. While lawmakers and the international community are reacting to the Trump administration’s decision to unilaterally remove Venezuelan dictator Nicolás Maduro, we’ll focus on another impending major policy decision: the leadership...

A Look at the Polls

A Look at the Polls

The first session of the 119th Congress is nearly over. What are Republican leaders like Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives Mike Johnson (R-La.) and top Democrats like Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) wishing for as they celebrate the holiday...

The Future of AI Regulation

The Future of AI Regulation

All aboard! It’s mid-December in Washington, D.C. and the last policymaking train of the year is about to leave Capitol Hill. Over the weekend, lawmakers unveiled the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA), the annual defense bill that, for many decades, has been...

The Changing Financial Regulatory Landscape

The Changing Financial Regulatory Landscape

The March terminations left the FTC with just three commissioners. Then, more recently, Biden-appointed Republican commissioner Melissa Holyoak stepped down from her post. The commission now has just two of its five top positions filled. The FTC is, of course, not the...

It’s Thanksgiving, But the GOP Isn’t Celebrating Yet

It’s Thanksgiving, But the GOP Isn’t Celebrating Yet

As policymakers in Washington wound down their legislative work last week and prepared for Thanksgiving celebrations back in their home states and districts, breaking news rattled the nation’s capital: U.S. Rep. Majorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.) announced suddenly that...

Another Independent Agency Bites The Dust?

Another Independent Agency Bites The Dust?

The Board of Tea Appeals. The Reconstruction Finance Corporation. The Office of Technology Assessment. And the Federal Theatre Project. These were all once federal agencies — until they were abolished by an act of Congress. Is the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau...

The Shutdown Is About To End. Now What?

The Shutdown Is About To End. Now What?

This evening, members of the U.S. House of Representatives are expected to vote on a continuing resolution (CR) that would reopen the federal government after its longest shutdown ever. The Senate approved the measure Monday, so if a majority of lower chamber...

A Big Night for the Democrats

A Big Night for the Democrats

Election Day 2025 is now in the books. Voters went to the polls in several states around the country yesterday, including in California, New Jersey, New York, Texas, Pennsylvania, and Virginia. As we reported two weeks ago in this column, off-year elections like this...

Will The Federal Government Shutdown Ever End?

Will The Federal Government Shutdown Ever End?

For the 13th time yesterday, members of the U.S. Senate voted down an attempt to move forward on a short-term fiscal year 2026 spending bill. The vote was 54-45. (The Senate requires 60 favorable votes to move forward to a final majority vote on the measure.) As a...

Are Off-Year Elections A Reliable Crystal Ball?

Are Off-Year Elections A Reliable Crystal Ball?

Election Day is just 13 days away. You read that correctly: voters will go to the polls in less than two weeks. In some states, at least. While the 2026 midterm congressional elections are still more than a year away, major races or ballot initiatives are happening...

“The RIFs Have Begun”

“The RIFs Have Begun”

Yesterday — for the eighth time since late September — the U.S. Senate failed to invoke cloture on a short-term continuing resolution (CR). As such, today marks the 15th day of the federal government shutdown, and there’s no apparent end in sight. Before the shutdown,...

SCOTUS on Deck

SCOTUS on Deck

The federal government may be shut down, but the Supreme Court of the United States (SCOTUS) gaveled in its 2025-26 session this week. The nine justices began hearing oral arguments on Monday. Per the SCOTUS calendar, they will continue to hear oral arguments during...

The 2025 Government Shutdown: What It Means For You

The 2025 Government Shutdown: What It Means For You

The U.S. government is shut down. After an unproductive meeting between President Donald Trump and a bipartisan group of congressional leaders earlier this week, and after the U.S. Senate failed once again yesterday to approve a House-passed continuing resolution...

A Short History Of Government Shutdowns

A Short History Of Government Shutdowns

It is looking more and more like the U.S. government is heading toward a shutdown. After agreeing to meet with House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) to discuss a plan to keep the federal government operating...

Why Is President Trump Focused On Quarterly Earnings Reports?

Why Is President Trump Focused On Quarterly Earnings Reports?

Over the 44 years between 1980 and 2024, there were 9,253 initial public offerings (IPOs) — an average of approximately 210 per year. But something’s happened in recent years and companies simply aren’t going public at nearly the same volume as they once did....

Senate Goes Nuclear Again

Senate Goes Nuclear Again

The Senate Banking Committee is expected to vote this morning on President Donald Trump’s nomination of Stephen Miran to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. The vote is important — if Miran is confirmed, President Trump will have one more...

Federal Courts And Fed Independence

Federal Courts And Fed Independence

Federal lawmakers are back from their long August recess, but President Donald Trump and top White House officials may not have their focus concentrated on Capitol Hill at this particular moment. In fact, they are more likely to be looking toward the judiciary. The...

They’re Back: What’s on Congress’s To-Do List?

They’re Back: What’s on Congress’s To-Do List?

If there is ever a quiet week in Washington, D.C., it’s the week before Labor Day. Federal lawmakers have been back in their states and districts for the last month. Their staff have fled to the beach or elsewhere, trying to get a few moments of peace before the...

Gerry-mandering: What’s the Deal with These Districts?

Gerry-mandering: What’s the Deal with These Districts?

The August congressional recess is more than half over, and one issue has consumed both federal and state lawmakers. It’s not tariffs or trade, nor implementation of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act’s (OBBBA) spending and tax cuts, however. The issue is redrawing U.S....

A September Senate Skirmish Over Nominees

A September Senate Skirmish Over Nominees

After a significant push by President Donald Trump and the White House to keep the U.S. Senate in session during August to consider and vote on his executive branch and judicial nominees, the upper chamber of Congress finally has recessed. Kind of. One senator...

Redistricting Battle Comes To A Boil

Redistricting Battle Comes To A Boil

The redistricting skirmish that we discussed in last week’s blog post has, this week, turned into a full-scale battle between Republicans and Democrats. In states around the country, both parties are jockeying to redraw the lines of U.S. congressional districts in...

It’s Never Too Early: A Look At The Midterms

It’s Never Too Early: A Look At The Midterms

The 2026 midterm congressional elections may be a little over 15 months away, but federal lawmakers and their campaign committees already are deep into planning for Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026. New polling numbers seem to be coming out every day, incumbent lawmakers are...

Will The Senate Recess Get Cancelled?

Will The Senate Recess Get Cancelled?

It’s July in Washington, D.C. That means the heat is sweltering, the humidity is high, and federal lawmakers’ (and their staffs’) desire to get out of town for the annual August recess – a sacred tradition on Capitol Hill – is growing by the minute. Some lawmakers are...

Jerome Powell Fights For His Job

Jerome Powell Fights For His Job

The Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will meet again at the end of this month. At that time, its members will determine whether to reduce the federal funds interest rate or to keep it where it is. FOMC members, especially Chair Jerome Powell,...

Supreme Court v. Nationwide Injunctions

Supreme Court v. Nationwide Injunctions

While much of the world and Washington, D.C. were focused on the debate over the major tax and spending bill that President Donald Trump signed into law on July 4, the Supreme Court of the United States (SCOTUS) quietly completed its eight-month term at the end of...

OBBBA On The Brink

OBBBA On The Brink

While members of the U.S. House of Representatives were back in their home districts over the weekend getting ready for Independence Day parades, U.S. senators remained in Washington, D.C. On Saturday, the chamber voted 51-49 to invoke cloture on the One Big,...

Splish, Splash: What the Heck is a “Byrd Bath”?

Splish, Splash: What the Heck is a “Byrd Bath”?

The One Big, Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) — the budget reconciliation legislation that includes President Donald Trump’s tax, spending, energy, and immigration priorities — is nearly ready for consideration by the U.S. Senate. (Readers will recall that the U.S. House of...

GOP Consternation Over One Big, Beautiful Bill Act Builds

GOP Consternation Over One Big, Beautiful Bill Act Builds

While President Donald Trump traveled to Canada this week for a meeting with top international leaders — and abruptly left when the conflict between Israel and Iran escalated — lawmakers on Capitol Hill have continued to work on the centerpiece of the president’s...

The Big, Beautiful Bill, The National Debt, And The Risk Of Default

The Big, Beautiful Bill, The National Debt, And The Risk Of Default

July Fourth is 23 days away. While many Americans may not yet have planned their Independence Day celebrations, White House officials and Republican leaders in the U.S. House and Senate have for months had this date etched in their minds. That’s because GOP lawmakers...

A GENIUS Act Poison Pill?

A GENIUS Act Poison Pill?

In the papers and on cable news, most eyes are on Washington’s tax and spending fights — President Donald Trump’s release of his “skinny” fiscal year (FY) 2026 budget and Senate consideration of the One Big, Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA, or the FY 2026 budget...

The Erosion of States’ Rights

The Erosion of States’ Rights

For most of the United States’ history, politicians, political philosophers, and voters themselves have argued for, and against, the notion of states’ rights – the constitutional argument that, despite the existence of a national government, state governments should...

The Big, Ugly Debt Limit

The Big, Ugly Debt Limit

The U.S. House of Representatives could vote as soon as later today on Republicans’ “One Big, Beautiful Bill Act” (OBBBA). Yes, that name really is what has been given to the legislation. As we explained in our column last week, the OBBBA includes massive spending...

The GOP Tax Bill Advances. What’s In it?

The GOP Tax Bill Advances. What’s In it?

This past March, in advance of the April 15 deadline to file state and federal income taxes, Gallup asked voters how they feel about the U.S. tax code as it is currently written. The polling organization found a majority of voters, 59 percent, think the amount they...

The Reconciliation Reckoning

The Reconciliation Reckoning

While President Donald Trump is focused on tariffs on toys and on the foreign film industry, and on negotiating trade deals with dozens of countries, Republicans on Capitol Hill have turned their attention to another important “t” word: taxes. Well, taxes, federal...

The First 100 Days

The First 100 Days

President Donald Trump marked the 100th day of his second term in office yesterday. He celebrated the milestone with a rally in Warren, Mich., a swing state that will be pivotal in the midterm elections next year. (Readers may recall that, last November, President...

On the Fed’s Independence

On the Fed’s Independence

President Donald Trump has been a frequent critic of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. As a candidate in 2016, he suggested that then-Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen was keeping interest rates low to boost his opponent, Hillary Clinton's, odds of being...

Crypto Goes Mainstream

Crypto Goes Mainstream

About two weeks before election day last year, the Pew Research Center released a poll that found nearly two-thirds of Americans, 63 percent, were not confident in the reliability or security of cryptocurrency. More than one-third, 38 percent, who had invested in...

The High Price of Tariffs

The High Price of Tariffs

As of the close of trading yesterday, Tuesday, April 8, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 6,322 points, or 15 percent, since January 17, 2025, the last trading day before President Donald Trump took office. The S&P 500 was off 1,078 points, or 18 percent....

About Last Night

About Last Night

Yesterday was April Fools’ Day. It also was Election Day — at least in Florida and Wisconsin. For both Democrats and Republicans, the tea leaves that revealed themselves in Tuesday’s contests were no joking matter. In fact, they could serve as early indicators of...

Is “Flood The Zone” Working?

Is “Flood The Zone” Working?

Two months ago, in a sub-headline published eight days after Inauguration Day, The New York Times declared, “A deliberate effort by the president and his team to roll out an unceasing flow of initiatives has knocked his rivals off balance in the first days of the new...

Congress Is On Spring Break, But What’s Next?

Congress Is On Spring Break, But What’s Next?

It’s spring break in Washington, D.C. At least for Congress. After approving the fiscal year 2025 continuing resolution that will keep the federal government’s doors open until September 30, lawmakers are back in their states and districts this week. There’s little...

Will They Or Won’t They? Why Senate Dems May Vote For A CR

Will They Or Won’t They? Why Senate Dems May Vote For A CR

Late yesterday afternoon, the U.S. House of Representatives approved a continuing resolution (CR) that will keep the federal government funded through the end of fiscal year (FY) 2025. The virtually-party line vote was 217 to 213. Rep. Thomas Massie (R-Ky.) was the...

President Trump Touts Record — Do Americans Agree?

President Trump Touts Record — Do Americans Agree?

“The people elected me to do a job and I’m doing it.” That was President Donald Trump last night in his address to members of the U.S. House and Senate. Clocking in at more than 90 minutes, the speech, which was not formally deemed a State of the Union address since...

Independent No More

Independent No More

It may feel as though there’s a new executive order from the White House to decipher and parse every day. In reality, though, that’s simply not true. The Trump administration, in fact, is actually issuing about two executive orders every day. (Note: executive orders...

The DOGE Is … Everywhere?

The DOGE Is … Everywhere?

The Department of Government Efficiency has moved quickly to expand its reach to new federal agencies.

DOGE Hits CFPB

DOGE Hits CFPB

The CFPB is, for all intents and purposes, shut down. This week we breakdown how we got to this point, what is happening at the CFPB now, and what may happen next.

Tariff Tempest

Tariff Tempest

After articulating his “America First Trade Policy” in an executive memorandum on his first day in office, this past Saturday President Donald Trump made good on his promise to impose new tariffs on some of America’s largest trading partners.

Trump’s Second Term Has Begun. Now What?

Trump’s Second Term Has Begun. Now What?

The United States is now about 48 hours into President Donald J. Trump’s second term in office. The initial rush of executive orders — heavily focused on immigration, energy exploration, and changing the nature and responsibilities of the federal workforce —...

An Update On Nominations

An Update On Nominations

As Senate committees prepare to launch confirmation hearings, President-elect Trump hasn’t yet named his picks to lead financial regulatory agencies.

French Hill Takes The Helm

French Hill Takes The Helm

Rep. French Hill was elected by the House GOP Steering Committee to lead the House Financial Services Committee next Congress.

The All Powerful DOGE?

The All Powerful DOGE?

Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy have been tasked with slashing government spending. Will they be successful?

Checking The Polls

Checking The Polls

The 2024 elections are less than a month away. What does the polling tell us might happen on Election Day?

Bracing For An “October Surprise”

Bracing For An “October Surprise”

There’s only about a month until Election Day and most voters have made up their minds. Could an October Surprise alter the 2024 election?

Reading The Fed’s Tea Leaves

Reading The Fed’s Tea Leaves

The Fed cut the federal funds rate by 50 basis points last week. How quickly will additional rates cuts come?

Congress Returns To Packed Schedule

Congress Returns To Packed Schedule

Fresh back to D.C. from their August recess – and eager to return to the campaign trail – Congress has work to do in September.

The Race To Control Congress

The Race To Control Congress

A look at what the polls indicate Election 2024 could mean for control of the U.S. House and Senate.

A Lame Duck?

A Lame Duck?

With five months remaining in his term, what would President Biden like to accomplish? And what does history tell us he could?

Walz In The White House?

Walz In The White House?

Vice President Kalama Harris yesterday named Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. Who is he – and what do voters think of him?

J.D. for V.P.

J.D. for V.P.

Who is Sen. J.D. Vance, and what impact, if any, do VP picks have in presidential elections?

What’s Left for Congress?

What’s Left for Congress?

With government funding dispensed with (for now), what will Congress focus on before the November elections?